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Warming trend begins, Thanksgiving outlook

Posted: Nov 12, 2012 10:48 AM by Meteorologist Matt Elwell
Updated: Nov 12, 2012 11:01 AM

 Wednesday 11-21 weather model
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After a snow-filled end to the week and a bitter cold weekend, it looks like our weather trend will start to warm up again this week. Unfortunately for those looking for a meteoric climb in the temperature, you will have to wait a couple of days with a few scattered chances of snow along the Divide through Monday evening and early Tuesday. Included is a simulated radar summary for early Tuesday morning, which brings isolated snow showers across the region.

A weak weather system will keep daytime highs trending below average to start the week with a few light snow flurries and snow showers in southwest Montana for Monday and early in the week. By Tuesday the trend will be for warmer temperatures and quiet weather through the weekend. Bozeman is looking at high temperatures near 50° (average around 45° at that point) and Butte topping out around 42° by Sunday afternoon (average will be near 39°).

The long term trend as we head into the Thanksgiving holiday actually seems relatively quiet. Weather models are picking up on another weak storm system slated to move through the area Tuesday and Wednesday that will drop temperatures a bit, and bring the chance for wind and some unsettled weather (which could produce a bit of rain and snow across Montana). There is a lot of uncertainty as we look that far out, of course, but as of right now Southwest Montana looks to be on the backside of a system that could be significant snow producer for North Dakota around Thanksgiving.

We will continue to watch these systems as they come together and keep you informed!

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